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Rates & Market ·

And Now it Really Starts Making Sense…

It’s Fed Day, which means that the Fed just finished their 2-day meeting. At 11am our time this morning, they announced (as expected) that they are raising rates by .25%. The Fed is currently in a press conference, so we will see how the mortgage rates respond to the announcement. Misinformation on Major News Sites…

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Rates & Market ·

Another Reason Home Prices are UNLIKELY to Drop

Today’s topic is something that I am seeing continually: headlines and people talking about how everyone is just waiting for real estate prices to fall. When prices fall, then it’s time to jump into the market. So, people are just trying to time the market. I wish everyone luck with that. US Demographics Show Valuable…

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Rates & Market ·

Which Way are Rates Headed? It Depends on Who You Ask!

We’re seeing differing opinions about which way mortgage rates are heading – as always, the opinion depends on who you are asking. Last week, one of the past Fed presidents, Bill Dudley, he said he thinks that rates are going to continue going up (like many past Fed presidents would agree). The argument is that…

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Rates & Market ·

Prediction: When Will a Flood of Inventory Hit the Market?

For this week’s topic, I want to reference an article we recently found in Market Insider: it interviews the CEO of Compass Real Estate, which is a big national firm. He said something that I’ve been hearing in other places, but there was one point that stood out to me. Prediction for Real Estate Inventory…

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Rates & Market ·

The Fed Pauses

Today is Fed Day! The Fed did announce a pause on increasing interest rates again, but they also said they are going to raise at least a few more times before the end of the year. I think it’s a strange prediction, but we’ll see what happens. Now we know what the story is: at…

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Rates & Market ·

Who Likes Rollercoasters?

Who likes rollercoaster rides? We’re definitely on one the last few weeks with mortgage rates. We had the inflation data come out a few weeks ago. It’s been a nose-dive in bonds ever since, which is bad for rates. Every day, rates have been getting worse. It’s been all over the news. We have seen…

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Rates & Market ·

This is Not Looking Like a CRASH!

This week I want to review a slide that we’ve talked about before: the blue line is the price action on a typical house in the Temecula/Murrieta area. Even though the chart shows local details, it is what we are seeing nationally. Of course, there are nuances depending on the location in the United States.…

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Rates & Market ·

Inflation Report Today’s Focus

We’ve had today marked on the calendar for a while, knowing that the Consumer Pricing Index (CPI) report was coming out. We had high hopes that it would be a pivot point for inflation. But it didn’t turn out quite like we were hoping, there was a little bit of a scare over the weekend…

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Rates & Market ·

The Topic I Didn’t Want to Cover… LLPAs

This topic is something I never thought I would talk about, but I’ve had a lot of questions about it lately & it needs to be addressed. Today I want to share information about Loan Level Pricing Adjustments (LLPAs). What is an LLPA? For sake of what we are talking about today, we are only…

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Rates & Market ·

Housing Up, Inflation Down – Things are Right on Projections

On the mortgage front this week, inflation numbers came out this morning. CPI is still trending lower, which is a good sign. You can see in the chart below: our high was 9.1%, now we are down to 5% on the headline number. This is a significant improvement! Of course, it’s still too high, but…